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Seoul Institute of Global Affairs 30 September 2026

Stopping North Korea's Nuclear Programme: Why It Matters, and Why It Has Become Harder

Great-power competition and weakened monitoring and sanctions enforcement have made halting North Korea's nuclear programme harder, yet deterrence is less reliable than often assumed.


About this Appearance

I wrote a policy paper for the Seoul Institute of Global Affairs (SIGA) on North Korea’s nuclear programme. I argue that the programme must be stopped, not managed, but that this has become harder as great-power competition intensifies and international monitoring and sanctions enforcement have weakened. Deterrence is less reliable than often assumed, and while the United States can offer pressure and reassurance, it cannot supply the legitimacy and inspection that multilateral institutions must provide. You can read the full paper by clicking the link above.

Quotes

“The goal must be stopping the programme, not managing it.”